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Resolved: Jun 04, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $903.5K

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Resolved · JUN 04
NO
0c
YES
100c
Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned NO (5 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.
MODERATE RESULT
YES WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved YES at $1.00.

DIRECTION WRONG
3c
86c
100c
100c
Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model Said Fair Value estimated fair price of YES Confidence Result
PIN Model YES 98c
96%
Compound Signal YES 70c
40%
DeepSeek Quant YES 84c
70%
Gemini Flash YES 85c
70%
Kimi Macro YES 84c
75%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 84c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 of 1 Wallets Is Smart Money

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is classified as smart money.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x1bc6..36SmartYES$3.3K-1%
See all 87 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$163 on $3.3K capital deployed (avg +4.9%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)
YES positions
100% in profit
NO positions
0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform Last YES Price Volume Final
Polymarket 94c $903.5K 100c
AI Consensus 84c — ✓ matched
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