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Resolves: Jun 2026 34 days left Volume: $2.6M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

NO
94c
YES
6c

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Down from 16% to 6% since 2026-04-14 (-10pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $2.6M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $2.6M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 6c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/5 AI models agree NO. Our system has been 100% accurate when 4+ models converge — across 12 resolved markets.
CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT
HOLD

6/6 models agree on NO, fair value 10c vs market 6c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

— TARGET YIELD

6 of 6 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO98c—
MATH Compound SignalNO75c—
AI Claude AnalysisNO97c
92%
AI DeepSeek QuantNO94c
85%
AI Gemini FlashNO85c
70%
AI Kimi MacroNO94c
94%

6 of 6 models estimate NO fair value below market (75–98c vs 94c). Kimi Macro leads with 94% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 90c — market prices it at 94c. 4-point gap supports YES.

1 of 1 Wallets Is Smart Money

The single tracked wallet positioned NO at 73c, signaling early conviction that crude would not breach $150 by end of June — a structurally aggressive strike given spot levels. Their entry well above current price implies smart money treated the YES tail as overpriced from the start, and the 6c residual offers no asymmetric reward for chasing the long side now.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x8152..daSmartNO$2.9K+25%
See all 80 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO holders are sitting on substantial unrealized gains, with 100% of NO entries at 73c now marked against a 6c YES price — roughly a 67-point favorable move. No YES wallets are in profit, reflecting the market's collapse toward resolution at zero and confirming sellers extracted most of the available edge.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $2.6M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $2.6M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 10c. 4-point gap suggests market may undervalue YES.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket6c$2.6M
Our Model10c—
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $2.6M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 10c YES. 6 models agree on direction.