We tracked 7 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 6 market makers are providing $28K in liquidity, primarily on NO. NO wallets entered between 85c–91c.
Wallet
Category
Side
Amount
P&L
0x24c8..e1
MM
NO
$12.3K
+9%
This Market
Entered at 87c → now 94c (+9%), $12.3K on NO
Track Record
1mo on platform · 1570 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1570) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x0845..6f
MM
NO
$7.8K
+10%
This Market
Entered at 86c → now 94c (+10%), $7.8K on NO
Track Record
21d on platform · 1066 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1066) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x253d..07
MM
NO
$3.7K
+11%
This Market
Entered at 85c → now 94c (+11%), $3.7K on NO
Track Record
9mo on platform · 1374 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1374) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xcaab..dd
MM
YES
$1.9K
-60%
This Market
Entered at 14c → now 6c (-60%), $1.9K on YES
Track Record
1mo on platform · 1612 trades · economics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1612) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x5cd5..33
Retail
NO
$1.2K
+11%
This Market
Entered at 85c → now 94c (+11%), $1.2K on NO
Track Record
28d on platform
AI Insight
Retail wallet — smaller position, limited trading history.
0x7c3d..6b
MM
NO
$1.0K
+4%
This Market
Entered at 91c → now 94c (+4%), $1.0K on NO
Track Record
24d on platform · 1246 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1246) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xa8af..5e
MM
NO
$1.0K
+10%
This Market
Entered at 86c → now 94c (+10%), $1.0K on NO
Track Record
2mo on platform · 1302 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1302) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
YES wallets entered between 14c, NO wallets at 85c–91c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 6c YES — $4.0M Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $4.0M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
What are the current odds for Netanyahu out by June 30??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $4.0M in total volume.
Where can I bet on Netanyahu out by June 30??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Netanyahu out by June 30??
OddsShift tracks 7 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.