Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Apr 18, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $865.0K

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Q: How did 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Apr 18, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · APR 18

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 3 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Apr 18, 2026Final volume $865.0KTracked since Apr 16

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

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What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Apr 18, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 5c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $865.0K across 3 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

1 of 3 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 1 held NO (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 2 held YES and lost their stake when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xbacd..35	MM	NO	$4.0K	+11%
This Market Entered at 86c → now 50c (+11%), $4.0K on NO
0x162f..8d	MM	YES	$1.1K	—
This Market Entered at 5c, $1.1K on YES
0xc408..75	MM	YES	$1.0K	-58%
This Market Entered at 12c → now 50c (-58%), $1.0K on YES

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