Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES but the market resolved NO. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: May 28, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $305.8K

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Q: How did 'Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on May 28, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · MAY 28

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES (3 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

MODERATE RESULT

NO WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved NO at $1.00.

DIRECTION WRONG

87c

100c

Stop Loss Target Final

3 of 5 Models Agreed: NO

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	98c	96%
Compound Signal	NO	35c	30%
DeepSeek Quant	NO	8c	65%
Gemini Flash	???	45c	65%
Kimi Macro	NO	14c	80%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 40c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 0c YES / $1.00 NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 14c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde04..37	Retail	YES	$2.2K	-5%
This Market Entered at 14c → now 50c (-5%), $2.2K on YES Activity · 2 events · May 24 → May 25 DatePositionAmountTotal May 24BUYYES14+$1,986$1,987 May 25BUYYES14+$348$2,388 Realized— Unrealized−$124 Total Profit−$124 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 892 trades).

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

0% Capital on Winning Side

Tracked alpha wallets held NO at the last snapshot. NO redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: -$2,210 on $2.2K capital deployed (avg -100.0%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

NO positions

0% in profit

YES positions

100% lost

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	13c	$305.8K	0c
AI Consensus	40c	—	✓ matched

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