Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Aug 12, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $1.8M

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Q: How did 'Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Aug 12, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · AUG 12

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 1 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Aug 12, 2026Final volume $1.8MTracked since Jul 30

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Aug 12, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket pricing drifted lower from 95c at the start of OddsShift tracking (Jul 30) to 94c on the last snapshot before resolution. Final lifetime volume reached $1.8M across 1 tracked wallet above the $1K threshold.

0 of 1 Tracked Wallets Picked Correctly

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. All 1 held the losing side and went to zero when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L	Result
0xde04..37	Retail	YES	$1.0K	+67%
This Market Entered at 34c → now 50c (+67%), $1.0K on YES Activity · 14 events · Feb 27 → Jun 11 DatePositionAmountTotal Feb 27BUYYES26+$38$38 Mar 03BUYYES29+$29$74 Apr 21BUYYES32+$42$123 Apr 22BUYYES35+$35$169 Apr 29BUYYES42+$4$206 May 11BUYYES34+$3$168 May 19BUYYES30+$21$173 May 25BUYYES25+$2$144 May 26BUYYES23+$2$136 May 29BUYYES30+$2$176 May 30BUYYES31+$362$545 May 31BUYYES41+$15$739 Jun 10BUYYES33+$14$614 Jun 11BUYYES34+$371$996 Realized— Unrealized+$667 Total Profit+$667

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