Tools
Market Radar Copy Trading Compare Arbitrage X-Tweet Market Pricing
Learn
How It Works Accuracy Tracker Prediction Markets Guide Getting Started Legal & Regulation Tax Guide Safety Review
Other
Resolves: Dec 2026 4 months left Volume: $1.0M

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

NO
86c
YES
14c

Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES).

Down from 21% to 14% since 2026-05-31 (-7pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $1.0M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.0M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 14c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/6 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 86c

6/6 models agree on NO, fair value 17c vs market 16c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

+10% TARGET YIELD
52c
95c
100c
86c
83c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

6 of 6 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO92c—
MATH Compound SignalNO70c—
AI DeepSeek QuantNO88c
78%
AI Grok ContrarianNO82c
62%
AI Gemini FlashNO82c
85%
AI Kimi MacroNO84c
80%

6 of 6 models estimate NO fair value below market (70–92c vs 84c). Gemini Flash leads with 85% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 83c — market prices it at 84c. 1-point gap supports YES.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 49c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xcaab..ddRetailNO$4.1K+77%
See all 87 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 49c. At current price 14c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 14c YES — $1.0M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 14c with $1.0M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 17c. 3-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket14c$1.0M
Our Model17c—
Back to Market Radar

Related Markets

Other
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 16c
 Other
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
YES 6c
 Other
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 32c
 Other
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES 8c
 Other
AI bubble burst in 2026?
YES 11c

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $1.0M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 17c YES. 6 models agree on direction.