Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
NO
82c
YES
18c
Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES). Google isn't releasing its next big AI model yet, drawing groans at its I/O conference.
Down from 22% to 18% since 2026-04-06 (-4pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $667K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 18c YES with $667K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.