How did 'Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on May 17, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES but the market resolved NO. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: May 17, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $4.9M

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Resolved · MAY 17

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES (2 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

STRONG RESULT

NO WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved NO at $1.00.

Stop Loss Target Final

4 of 5 Models Agreed: NO — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	57c	14%
Compound Signal	NO	34c	32%
DeepSeek Quant	NO	13c	72%
Gemini Flash	NO	30c	65%
Kimi Macro	NO	13c	50%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 29c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 0c YES / $1.00 NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 15c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde04..37	Retail	YES	$1.8K	-13%
This Market Entered at 15c → now 50c (-13%), $1.8K on YES Activity · 6 events · Mar 05 → May 12 DatePositionAmountTotal Mar 05BUYYES7+$7$7 Apr 01BUYYES6+$3$10 Apr 30BUYYES14+$75$96 May 05BUYYES18+$650$776 May 11BUYYES14+$1,337$1,934 May 12BUYYES14+$43$1,924 Realized— Unrealized−$247 Total Profit−$247 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1376 trades).

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

0% Capital on Winning Side

Tracked alpha wallets held NO at the last snapshot. NO redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: -$1,783 on $1.8K capital deployed (avg -100.0%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

NO positions

0% in profit

YES positions

100% lost

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	13c	$4.9M	0c
AI Consensus	29c	—	✓ matched

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