Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 80% YES on Polymarket with $143K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

Q: What do AI models predict for 'Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?'?

OddsShift runs mathematical models (Bayesian Update, PIN, Compound Signal) plus independent AI models (Claude, DeepSeek, Grok, Gemini, Kimi) on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 80c YES. 5 models agree on direction. See full model breakdown on the market page.

YES

80c

20c

Prediction markets put the probability at 81%: Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election. Currently, markets see this as likely (81% YES). Bottoms wins Democratic governor primary, Republican race to runoff.

Up from 52% to 80% since 2026-04-06 (+28pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $143K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 80c YES with $143K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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On this market: 5/5 AI models agree YES. Our system has been 100% accurate when 4+ models converge — across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 80c

5/5 models agree on YES, fair value 80c vs market 81c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

5 of 5 Models Agree: YES

Model	Says	Fair Value estimated fair price	Confidence
MATH PIN Model	YES	90c	—
MATH Compound Signal	YES	68c	—
AI DeepSeek Quant	YES	79c	65%
AI Gemini Flash	YES	80c	65%
AI Kimi Macro	YES	81c	79%

5 of 5 models estimate YES fair value below market (68–90c vs 81c). Kimi Macro leads with 79% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of YES at 80c — market prices it at 81c. 1-point gap supports NO.

1 of 1 Wallets Is a Politics Specialist

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a politics specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned YES — unanimous.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde04..37	Smart	YES	$1.2K	+4%
This Market Entered at 74c → now 80c (+4%), $1.2K on YES Activity · 23 events · Feb 13 → May 23 DatePositionAmountTotal Feb 13BUYYES23+$12$12 Feb 15BUYYES44+$103$125 Mar 01BUYYES52+$8$155 Mar 02BUYYES54+$19$181 Mar 06BUYYES62+$37$243 Mar 07BUYYES59+$50$281 Mar 15BUYYES63+$23$323 Mar 16BUYYES58+$17$313 Mar 22BUYYES53+$5$293 Mar 23BUYYES52+$10$300 Mar 25BUYYES50+$5$291 Mar 26BUYYES53+$19$327 Apr 07BUYYES53+$5$332 Apr 08BUYYES44+$22$300 Apr 09BUYYES41+$2$280 Apr 17BUYYES41+$4$283 Apr 24BUYYES65+$15$461 Apr 25BUYYES52+$26$397 Apr 26BUYYES54+$3$416 May 16BUYYES72+$7$562 May 21BUYYES71+$7$561 May 22BUYYES74+$1,036$1,622 May 23BUYYES82+$46$1,831 Realized— Unrealized+$76 Total Profit+$76 Wallet Type High-conviction trader with 100% win rate across 1312 resolved bets. Agrees with consensus.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 74c. At current price 80c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 80c YES — $143K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 80c with $143K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 80c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	80c	$143K
Our Model	80c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 80% YES with $143K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 80c YES. 5 models agree on direction.