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Resolves: Jun 2026 9 days left Volume: $53K

Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

NO
72c
YES
28c

Prediction markets put the probability at 28%: Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (28% YES).

Currently at 28%

Traded on Polymarket — $53K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($53K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 28c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY YES 28c

Models see 25-point mispricing — fair value 53c vs market 28c. BUY YES at 28c — models see 25c of upside.

+212% TARGET YIELD
17c
89c
100c
28c
53c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

Models Are Divided on This Market

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelYES64c—
MATH Compound SignalNO58c—
AI Claude AnalysisYES42c
55%
AI DeepSeek Quant???53c
35%
AI Gemini Flash???50c
55%
AI Kimi MacroYES53c
60%

3 of 6 models estimate YES fair value above market (42–64c vs 28c). Kimi Macro leads with 60% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of YES at 53c — market prices it at 28c. 25-point gap supports YES.

Why One Model Disagrees: Compound Signal dissents at 42c — Signal score 3 (MODERATE), 55% backtest accuracy on YES side. Blended fair value: 42% YES.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

One tier wallet positioning YES at 26c suggests a contrarian-value read on Świątek's 2026 French Open odds, anchoring expectation slightly above the current 28c market. The absence of NO entries from tracked wallets is notable — smart money is not fading her, but a single-wallet signal is directional only at low confidence until corroborating entries appear.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xde04..37RetailYES$2.3K+7%
See all 80 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All YES Positions Are in Profit

The single tracked wallet entered YES at 26c and sits modestly in profit at 28c, a thin 2c cushion that reflects early-stage conviction rather than confirmed momentum. With zero NO exposure tracked, there is no opposing pressure visible in smart money flow, but the small sample size limits how much price support can be inferred from P&L alone.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
100% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket: 28c YES — $53K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 28c with $53K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 53c. Significant 25-point gap — model sees YES as substantially mispriced.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket28c$53K
Our Model53c—
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 28% YES with $53K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 53c YES. 3 models agree on direction.