Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 23% YES on Polymarket with $53K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

77c

YES

23c

Prediction markets give a 23% probability to: will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15?.

Currently at 23%

Traded on Polymarket — $53K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($53K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 23c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 77c

Smart money entered NO at 88c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 88c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x162f..8d	MM	NO	$8.6K	-12%
This Market Entered at 88c → now 77c (-12%), $8.6K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jul 07 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 07BUYNO88+$9,802$9,802 Realized— Unrealized−$1,225 Total Profit−$1,225 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1084) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 88c. At current price 23c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 23c YES — $53K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 23c with $53K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 23c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	23c	$53K
Our Model	23c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 23% YES with $53K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.