How did 'Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Apr 01, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Apr 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $515.1K

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved · APR 01

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 4 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Apr 01, 2026Final volume $515.1KTracked since Mar 27

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Apr 01, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 75c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $515.1K across 3 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

2 of 3 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 2 held NO (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 1 held YES and lost their stake when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xF102..48	Smart	NO	$2.4K	-29%
This Market Entered at 35c → now 50c (-29%), $2.4K on NO
0xE72B..A0	MM	NO	$3.9K	-31%
This Market Entered at 36c → now 50c (-31%), $3.9K on NO
0x9106..cb	MM	YES	$1.0K	+5%
This Market Entered at 72c → now 50c (+5%), $1.0K on YES

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