The market resolved YES at $1.00 on Aug 13, 2026. YES holders redeemed in full, NO holders went to zero.
Polymarket pricing climbed from 14c at the start of OddsShift tracking (Aug 10) to 32c on the last snapshot before resolution. Final lifetime volume reached $2.4M across 4 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.
We tracked 4 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 2 held YES (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 2 held NO and lost their stake when the market resolved.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6bab..92 ★ | MM | YES | $30.9K | +53% | ||
| 0x7c3d..6b | MM | YES | $5.5K | +94% | ||
| 0x4337..82 | MM | NO | $3.6K | -10% | ||
| 0xeb6f..f0 | MM | NO | $2.7K | -22% |