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Politics
Resolves: Oct 2026 5 months left Volume: $71K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

NO
78c
YES
22c

Prediction markets put the probability at 22%: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (22% YES). Bolsonaro’s son runs for president with a mission: Get dad out of prison.

Price has been stable at 22% since 2026-04-28

Traded on Polymarket — $71K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($71K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 22c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
Last updated: April 28, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 22% YES with $71K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.