Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 66% YES on Polymarket with $1.5M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

66c

34c

Prediction markets give a 66% probability to: will united russia (er) gain the most seats in the next russian parliamentary election?.

Currently at 66%

Traded on Polymarket — $1.5M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.5M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 66c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

$1.5M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 1 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 66c

Smart money entered YES at 70c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 70c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0845..6f	MM	YES	$4.7K	-6%
This Market Entered at 70c → now 66c (-6%), $4.7K on YES Track Record 21d on platform · 1066 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1066) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 70c. At current price 66c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 66c YES — $1.5M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 66c with $1.5M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 66c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	66c	$1.5M
Our Model	66c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 66% YES with $1.5M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.