How did 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Jun 30, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Jun 30, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $77.7M

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved · JUN 30

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 3 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Jun 30, 2026Final volume $77.7MTracked since Jun 15

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Jun 30, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 5c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $77.7M across 3 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

1 of 3 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 1 held NO (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 2 held YES and lost their stake when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x24c8..e1	MM	NO	$7.1K	+1%
This Market Entered at 94c → now 50c (+1%), $7.1K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 14 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 14BUYNO94+$7,017$7,017 Realized— Unrealized+$43 Total Profit+$43
0xa52b..80	MM	YES	$4.1K	0%
This Market Entered at 5c → now 50c (0%), $4.1K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 13 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 13BUYYES5+$4,074$4,076 Realized— Unrealized−$5 Total Profit−$5
0xde04..37	Retail	YES	$1.3K	+19%
This Market Entered at 4c → now 50c (+19%), $1.3K on YES Activity · 2 events · Jun 11 → Jun 13 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 11BUYYES4+$935$935 Jun 13BUYYES5+$102$1,265 Realized— Unrealized+$240 Total Profit+$240

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