Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
NO
93c
YES
7c
Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES). ANTALYA, Turkey — Iran is not yet ready to hold a new round of face-to-face talks with U.S.
Price has been stable at 7% since 2026-04-18
Traded on Polymarket — $278K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 7c YES with $278K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.