Politics
Resolves: Jun 2026 9 days left Volume: $50K

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

YES
92c
NO
8c

Prediction markets put the probability at 92%: Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election. Currently, markets see this as likely (92% YES).

Currently at 92%

Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($50K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 92c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/5 AI models agree YES. Our system has been 100% accurate when 4+ models converge — across 12 resolved markets.
MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY YES 92c

6/6 models agree on YES, fair value 87c vs market 92c. BUY YES at 92c — models see 5c of upside.

+4% TARGET YIELD
55c
95c
100c
92c
87c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

6 of 6 Models Agree: YES

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelYES97c
MATH Compound SignalYES73c
AI Claude AnalysisYES90c
65%
AI DeepSeek QuantYES88c
70%
AI Gemini FlashYES88c
75%
AI Kimi MacroYES85c
75%

6 of 6 models estimate YES fair value below market (73–97c vs 92c). Gemini Flash leads with 75% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of YES at 87c — market prices it at 92c. 5-point gap supports NO.

2 Active Wallets on This Market

Smart money is positioned exclusively long YES with zero NO exposure, signaling consensus that Evette holds the nomination. The 60c-93c entry range shows wallets accumulated through the rally rather than fading it, reinforcing directional conviction even as the price approaches resolution-implied ceilings.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xde04..37RetailYES$4.5K+24%
0x44c1..c1MMYES$2.6K-2%
See all 80 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

50% of YES Positions Are in Profit

Tracked YES holders entered between 60c and 93c, with only 50% currently in profit at 92c — late entries near the 93c top are barely above water. The split P&L suggests YES support is concentrated in early conviction rather than fresh capital chasing the move, leaving thin cushion if sentiment softens.

YES positions
50% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 10 Cents

Significant 10-cent gap: Polymarket at 92c vs Kalshi at 82c. Polymarket traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 87c.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket92c$50K
Kalshi82c
Our Model87c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 92% YES with $50K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 87c YES. 6 models agree on direction.