Crypto
Resolves: Jan 2027 4 months left Volume: $176K

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

NO
84c
YES
16c

Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Down from 23% to 16% since 2026-05-25 (-7pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $176K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 16c YES with $176K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets on every alpha market. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Crypto Markets

These Crypto markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 16% YES with $176K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.