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Resolves: Jun 2026 8 days left Volume: $646K

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

NO
89c
YES
11c

Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES).

Up from 5% to 11% since 2026-05-13 (+6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $646K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 11c YES with $646K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/5 AI models agree NO. Our system has been 100% accurate when 4+ models converge — across 12 resolved markets.
MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 89c

6/6 models agree on NO, fair value 14c vs market 11c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

+6% TARGET YIELD
54c
95c
100c
89c
86c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

6 of 6 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO98c—
MATH Compound SignalNO72c—
AI Claude AnalysisNO94c
82%
AI DeepSeek QuantNO92c
75%
AI Gemini FlashNO75c
65%
AI Kimi MacroNO85c
60%

6 of 6 models estimate NO fair value below market (72–98c vs 89c). Claude Analysis leads with 82% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 86c — market prices it at 89c. 3-point gap supports YES.

1 of 1 Wallets Is Smart Money

The single tracked wallet sits exclusively on NO at 90c, a high-confidence fade of Jodar's title chances consistent with field-favorite dynamics at a Slam. Smart money positioning skews unanimously against the outcome, reinforcing the 11c YES price as a directional signal rather than a contrarian opportunity.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xde04..37SmartNO$2.9K0%
See all 80 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO holders entered at 90c against a current YES price of 11c, leaving them deep in unrealized profit despite the 0% in-profit flag, which reflects unrealized rather than realized P&L. With no YES exposure tracked and the market pricing Jodar as a clear longshot, NO conviction has structural support from entry economics.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket: 11c YES — $646K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 11c with $646K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 14c. 3-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket11c$646K
Our Model14c—
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 11% YES with $646K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 14c YES. 6 models agree on direction.