Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 12% YES on Polymarket with $988K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

88c

YES

12c

Prediction markets give a 12% probability to: will reza pahlavi enter iran by december 31?.

Currently at 12%

Traded on Polymarket — $988K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $988K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

Smart money signal: 3 tracked wallets positioned NO. Backed by $988K in trading volume.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 89c

Smart money entered NO at 70c–74c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

3 Market Makers Providing Liquidity

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 3 market makers are providing $18K in liquidity, primarily on NO. NO wallets entered between 70c–74c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0845..6f	MM	NO	$11.4K	+19%
This Market Entered at 74c → now 88c (+19%), $11.4K on NO Track Record 21d on platform · 1066 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1066) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x24c8..e1	MM	NO	$3.9K	+20%
This Market Entered at 74c → now 88c (+20%), $3.9K on NO Track Record 1mo on platform · 1570 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1570) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x7c3d..6b	MM	NO	$2.7K	+27%
This Market Entered at 70c → now 88c (+27%), $2.7K on NO Track Record 24d on platform · 1246 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1246) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 162 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 70c–74c. At current price 12c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 2 Cents

Polymarket prices YES at 12c while Kalshi has it at 14c — a 2-cent gap within normal range. Our model estimates fair value at 12c.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	12c	$988K
Kalshi	14c	—
Our Model	12c	—

Back to Market Radar

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $988K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31??

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.