As of October 13, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?” at 85% YES with $54K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.
Prediction markets give a 85% probability to: will russia target kyiv on october 16, 2026?.
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
YES wallets entered between 73c. At current price 85c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
100%in profit
NO positions
0%in profit
Polymarket: 85c YES — $54K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 85c with $54K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 85c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
What are the current odds for Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 85% YES with $54K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
ODDSSHIFT PRO
$29/mo
Cancel anytime. No lock-in.
✔ Every AI verdict — BUY YES, BUY NO or HOLD with entry price and target, on every Radar market
✔ Model fair value — 3 math models + up to 5 AI models behind each verdict
✔ Wallet-level positions — which tracked wallets hold the market, size, P&L
✔ Trade alerts — Telegram or email within a minute of a tracked wallet's trade
✔ Wallet follow + daily digest — the wallets you follow, email + Telegram
✔ Cancel anytime — access runs to the end of the billing period