Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 80% YES on Polymarket with $50K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

80c

20c

Prediction markets give a 80% probability to: will sergio moro win the governor of paraná election?.

Currently at 80%

Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($50K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 80c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every alpha market. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 80c

Smart money entered YES at 89c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 89c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xcaab..dd	Retail	YES	$2.4K	-11%
This Market Entered at 89c → now 80c (-11%), $2.4K on YES Activity · 1 event · Aug 16 DatePositionAmountTotal Aug 16BUYYES89+$2,668$2,668 Realized— Unrealized−$283 Total Profit−$283 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1614 trades).

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 89c. At current price 80c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 80c YES — $50K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 80c with $50K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 80c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	80c	$50K
Our Model	80c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 80% YES with $50K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.