The market resolved YES at $1.00 on May 18, 2026. YES holders redeemed in full, NO holders went to zero.
Polymarket pricing climbed from 76c at the start of OddsShift tracking (Mar 27) to 95c on the last snapshot before resolution. Final lifetime volume reached $4.5M across 8 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.
We tracked 8 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 7 held YES (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 1 held NO and lost their stake when the market resolved.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0306..f6 | Smart | YES | $2.1K | +46% | ||
| 0xde04..37 | Smart | YES | $1.0K | +2% | ||
| 0x7c15..db | MM | YES | $10.0K | +0% | ||
| 0x439b..9a | MM | YES | $7.3K | +50% | ||
| 0xcf6c..66 | MM | YES | $6.2K | +19% | ||
| 0xeb6f..f0 | MM | YES | $5.3K | +18% | ||
| 0xa8af..5e | MM | YES | $1.4K | +29% | ||
| 0x31b5..28 ★ | MM | NO | $1.1K | -83% |