Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
YES
84c
NO
16c
Prediction markets put the probability at 84%: Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting. Currently, markets see this as likely (84% YES). Iran talks to resume this weekend without Vance.
Down from 90% to 84% since 2026-04-24 (-6pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $64K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($64K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 84c YES.