Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Apr 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $70.9K

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Q: How did 'Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Apr 01, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · APR 01

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 3 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Apr 01, 2026Final volume $70.9KTracked since Mar 27

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Apr 01, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 41c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $70.9K across 3 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

0 of 3 Tracked Wallets Picked Correctly

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. All 3 held the losing side and went to zero when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xD1eE..ae	Smart	YES	$2.0K	+318%
This Market Entered at 10c → now 50c (+318%), $2.0K on YES
0xE7a3..0A	Smart	YES	$1.7K	+1284%
This Market Entered at 3c → now 50c (+1284%), $1.7K on YES
0xF5A3..3a	Retail	YES	$1.1K	+551%
This Market Entered at 6c → now 50c (+551%), $1.1K on YES

Back to Market Radar