Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES but the market resolved NO. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: May 02, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $372.0K

Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?

Q: How did 'Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on May 02, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · MAY 02

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES (3 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

MODERATE RESULT

NO WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved NO at $1.00.

DIRECTION WRONG

86c

100c

Stop Loss Target Final

3 of 5 Models Agreed: NO — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	98c	96%
Compound Signal	NO	30c	40%
DeepSeek Quant	YES	64c	65%
Grok Contrarian	NO	8c	70%
Kimi Macro	NO	5c	75%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 41c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 0c YES / $1.00 NO.

1 of 1 Wallets Is Smart Money

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is classified as smart money. All 1 positioned YES — unanimous.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde04..37	Smart	YES	$2.0K	-17%
This Market Entered at 6c → now 50c (-17%), $2.0K on YES Track Record 556 trades · 100% win rate · other specialist Wallet Type High-conviction trader with 100% win rate across 556 resolved bets. Agrees with consensus.

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

0% Capital on Winning Side

Tracked alpha wallets held NO at the last snapshot. NO redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: -$2,042 on $2.0K capital deployed (avg -100.0%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

NO positions

0% in profit

YES positions

100% lost

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	5c	$372.0K	0c
AI Consensus	41c	—	✓ matched

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