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Resolved: Sep 10, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $193.8K

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved · SEP 10
NO
0c
YES
100c
Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES — 4 of 5 models agreed with MODERATE conviction. Outcome confirmed the consensus direction.
MODERATE RESULT
YES WON 100c

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction — 4 of 5 models agreed. Outcome confirmed: YES won at $1.00.

DIRECTION MATCHED
55c
95c
100c
100c
Stop Loss Target Final

3 of 5 Models Agreed: YES

Model Said Fair Value estimated fair price of YES Confidence Result
PIN Model YES 98c
96%
DeepSeek Quant ??? 95c
55%
Grok Contrarian NO 28c
62%
Gemini Flash YES 96c
90%
Kimi Macro YES 95c
90%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 82c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 of 1 Wallets Is Smart Money

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is classified as smart money. All 1 positioned YES — unanimous.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xe841..59SmartYES$2.2K+9%
See all 88 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$326 on $2.2K capital deployed (avg +14.9%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)
YES positions
100% in profit
NO positions
0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform Last YES Price Volume Final
Polymarket 95c $193.8K 100c
AI Consensus 82c — ✓ matched
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