Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES
84c
NO
16c
Prediction markets put the probability at 84%: Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting. Currently, markets see this as likely (84% YES).
Currently at 84%
Traded on Polymarket — $54K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($54K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 84c YES.