Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?'?

As of September 2026, prediction markets price this at 77% YES on Polymarket with $50K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

77c

23c

As of September 29, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?” at 77% YES with $50K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.

Prediction markets give a 77% probability to: will the swedish social democratic party (s) be in the next swedish government?.

Currently at 77%

Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE AI VERDICT

BUY YES 77c

Smart money entered YES at 89c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 89c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x22db..0f	Retail	YES	$1.1K	-15%
This Market Entered at 89c → now 77c (-15%), $1.1K on YES Activity · 2 events · Sep 16 → Sep 23 DatePositionAmountTotal Sep 16BUYYES93+$696$695 Sep 23BUYYES85+$597$1,236 Realized— Unrealized−$180 Total Profit−$180 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1802 trades).

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 89c. At current price 77c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 77c YES — $50K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 77c with $50K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 77c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	77c	$50K
Our Model	77c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 77% YES with $50K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.