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Resolved: Sep 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $140.7K

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?

Resolved · SEP 01
NO
0c
YES
100c
Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES — 5 of 5 models agreed with MODERATE conviction. Outcome confirmed the consensus direction.
MODERATE RESULT
YES WON 100c

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction — 5 of 5 models agreed. Outcome confirmed: YES won at $1.00.

DIRECTION MATCHED
51c
95c
100c
100c
Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model Said Fair Value estimated fair price of YES Confidence Result
PIN Model YES 98c
96%
DeepSeek Quant YES 96c
78%
Grok Contrarian YES 88c
55%
Gemini Flash YES 96c
90%
Kimi Macro YES 95c
90%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 95c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 71c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x44c1..c1MMYES$4.1K+33%
See all 90 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$1,665 on $4.1K capital deployed (avg +40.4%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)
YES positions
100% in profit
NO positions
0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform Last YES Price Volume Final
Polymarket 95c $140.7K 100c
AI Consensus 95c — ✓ matched
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