Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 10% YES on Polymarket with $264K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

90c

YES

10c

Prediction markets give a 10% probability to: will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by april 30, 2026?.

Currently at 10%

Traded on Polymarket — $264K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 10c YES with $264K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 91c

Smart money entered NO at 92c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 92c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5cd5..33	MM	NO	$1.2K	-2%
This Market Entered at 92c → now 90c (-2%), $1.2K on NO Track Record 30d on platform · 1830 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1830) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 162 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 92c. At current price 10c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 44 Cents

Significant 44-cent gap: Polymarket at 10c vs Kalshi at 54c. Kalshi traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 10c.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	10c	$264K
Kalshi	54c	—
Our Model	10c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $264K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.