Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 16% YES on Polymarket with $220K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

84c

YES

16c

Prediction markets give a 16% probability to: will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31?.

Currently at 16%

Traded on Polymarket — $220K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 16c YES with $220K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 84c

Smart money entered NO at 90c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 90c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x162f..8d	MM	NO	$7.2K	-6%
This Market Entered at 90c → now 84c (-6%), $7.2K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jul 01 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 01BUYNO90+$7,706$7,706 Realized— Unrealized−$471 Total Profit−$471 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1084) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 90c. At current price 16c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 16c YES — $220K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 16c with $220K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 16c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	16c	$220K
Our Model	16c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 16% YES with $220K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.