Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction (5 of 5 models agreed). Outcome matched the consensus direction.

Other

Resolved: May 27, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $235.4K

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?

Q: How did 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on May 27, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · MAY 27

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES — 5 of 5 models agreed with MODERATE conviction. Outcome confirmed the consensus direction.

MODERATE RESULT

YES WON 100c

AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction — 5 of 5 models agreed. Outcome confirmed: YES won at $1.00.

Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	95c	90%
Compound Signal	YES	72c	44%
DeepSeek Quant	YES	89c	75%
Gemini Flash	YES	85c	75%
Kimi Macro	YES	84c	80%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 85c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 68c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde04..37	Retail	YES	$1.1K	+4%
This Market Entered at 68c → now 50c (+4%), $1.1K on YES Activity · 16 events · Apr 02 → May 27 DatePositionAmountTotal Apr 02BUYYES9+$2$2 Apr 08BUYYES10+$10$13 Apr 16BUYYES14+$5$23 Apr 17BUYYES14+$14$36 Apr 20BUYYES20+$47$98 Apr 28BUYYES12+$12$72 Apr 30BUYYES14+$14$97 May 03BUYYES26+$23$206 May 10BUYYES26+$26$231 May 11BUYYES23+$23$227 May 13BUYYES25+$38$287 May 14BUYYES24+$5$274 May 15BUYYES31+$248$600 May 21BUYYES45+$284$1,160 May 25BUYYES68+$856$2,630 May 27BUYYES98+$3,824$7,580 Realized— Unrealized+$286 Total Profit+$286 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 892 trades).

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$529 on $1.1K capital deployed (avg +46.3%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	91c	$235.4K	100c
AI Consensus	85c	—	✓ matched

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