Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 57% YES on Polymarket with $561K in total trading volume.

YES

57c

43c

Prediction markets put the probability at 60%: Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30. Currently, markets are divided (60% YES, 40% NO). Map: 6.2-Magnitude Earthquake Strikes off the Coast of Italy.

Down from 86% to 57% since 2026-04-06 (-29pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $561K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 57c YES with $561K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 57% YES with $561K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.