Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 80% YES on Polymarket with $553K in total trading volume.

YES

80c

20c

Prediction markets put the probability at 77%: Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30. Currently, markets see this as likely (77% YES). Find us on Google 📌 View from the pews Start the day smarter ☀️ Get the USA TODAY app.

Down from 86% to 80% since 2026-04-06 (-6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $553K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 80c YES with $553K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Science Markets

These Science markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 80% YES with $553K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.