The market resolved NO at $1.00 on May 18, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.
Polymarket priced this at 14c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $5.5M across 8 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.
We tracked 8 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 1 held NO (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 7 held YES and lost their stake when the market resolved.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4c03..C1 | Smart | NO | $1.1K | -10% | ||
| 0x2534..C9 | Smart | YES | $1.1K | +308% | ||
| 0x2b15..08 | MM | YES | $2.0K | +322% | ||
| 0x1E3B..bA | Retail | YES | $1.7K | +1046% | ||
| 0xA5e3..7e | Retail | YES | $1.7K | +96% | ||
| 0xA297..56 | Retail | YES | $1.1K | +561% | ||
| 0x66d0..b9 | Retail | YES | $1.1K | +376% | ||
| 0x5F82..ae | Retail | YES | $1.1K | +424% |