Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August?

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). At the time of writing, XRP trades at $1.04, down 2.52% on the day.

What’s Happening

XRP traded near $1.04 on August 10, 2026, down 2.52% on the day, with the asset hovering just above a critical liquidity zone between $1.00 and $1.03. On-chain data shows the majority of resting sell-side liquidity clusters below this range, suggesting potential downward pressure that could force a test of the high-$0.80s to low-$0.90s before sellers exhaust their momentum. The "xrp dip to $0.80 in august" scenario carries a 6% YES probability on the prediction market, with over $61,000 in trading volume attached to that specific threshold — the highest volume level visible across all XRP price targets on the platform. Total market volume exceeds $315,000, with the $1.00 threshold attracting over $26,000 in bets. [Pluang, Aug 10]

Exchange-traded fund inflows for XRP dropped for a second consecutive month in July, nearly turning negative, while net inflows to exchanges indicate a distribution phase may have commenced, according to FXEmpire. Analysts note that if XRP breaks below the psychological $1.00 level, the token could drop another 20% to around $0.80. The CLARITY Act, a regulatory bill that could provide legal clarity for digital assets, remains a key catalyst — if Section 604 talks stall and no Senate vote occurs before August ends, the price-supporting momentum would likely fade, with break-even sellers capping any bounce and XRP potentially drifting back toward its yearly lows in the $0.80 to $1.00 zone. [FXEmpire, Aug 5]

Traders have marked $0.975 as the first support level under the $1.00 line, followed by $0.87 and $0.85 below that, based on chart analysis from 24/7 Wall St. Robinhood's prediction market prices a 41% chance that XRP's 2026 low lands below $0.80, down from 53% on June 11, with most traders still expecting the low to form between $0.80 and $1.00. The "xrp dip to $0.80 in august" question reflects a narrow but active subset of this broader downside scenario, with the probability of that specific outcome remaining low despite the bearish liquidity setup. A failed CLARITY Act vote before the August recess would likely accelerate downside pressure, while a strong bounce at current levels could signal a bullish reversal if buyers absorb the remaining supply. [24/7 Wall St., Jul 30]

Traded on Polymarket — $64K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($64K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.