As of September 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff” at 14% YES with $125K traded. No tracked smart-money wallet holds a position on this market yet.
Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES). Coco Gauff's second-round opponent is Paula Badosa, the No.
The US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff second-round match is scheduled as the featured women's contest on Thursday, September 3, 2026, at Arthur Ashe Stadium in Flushing Meadows. Badosa, currently the No. 87 player in the WTA rankings, reached the round after a grueling qualifying run described as spanning two days and involving nine match points before she closed out her opener over Daria Kasatkina. Gauff, the No. 4 seed and 2023 US Open champion, enters as the heavy favorite by ranking, with the encounter marking her first significant test of this year's draw. [WTA Tennis, Sep 02]
The matchup carries weight because head-to-head history favors the lower-ranked Spaniard. Badosa, a former world No. 2, leads the series 5-3, having won five of their eight meetings. Those wins include a 7-5, 6-4 victory in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open, where Badosa went on to reach the semifinals, and a three-set win in Berlin earlier this summer. In that Berlin match, Badosa raised her first-serve points won from under 50 percent in the opening set to 75 percent in the third by taking the ball earlier and on the rise. Badosa has also shown form in the lead-up, winning the WTA 125 event in Sweden. [The Athletic, Jun 17]
For Gauff, the US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff meeting represents a hurdle as the American looks to capture a second title at Flushing Meadows. Badosa reached the US Open quarterfinals in 2024, the one time she qualified in the past three years, underscoring her capacity on the surface despite ranking and recent injury setbacks. The winner advances into the third round, with Gauff seeking to reassert herself among the tournament favorites and Badosa aiming to extend her head-to-head edge on the sport's biggest stage. [Straits Times, Sep 02]
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