Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). Analyst Ali Martinez posted on X that the TD Sequential indicator—a technical tool measuring price exhaustion—has flashed a buy signal for the asset.

What’s Happening

XRP was trading below the $1.90 threshold in the days leading up to the August 28 resolution date, after a mid-August recovery attempt lost momentum. The token climbed toward $1.95 on August 15 but failed to establish support above the level, with technical indicators weakening as buying pressure faded. Whether the price of XRP will be above $1.90 on August 28 depends on reclaiming a zone that has repeatedly acted as resistance through 2026, including the 200-day EMA that has sat near $1.90 since the spring. The token has struggled to hold above this line, which analysts have flagged as the pivot between a continued recovery and a slide back toward lower support. [Yellow, Aug 15]

The $1.90 level carries technical weight beyond a round number. Earlier analysis identified it as the last barrier before the psychological $2.00 mark, a price XRP has not sustained since January 2026. A rejection at $2.00 historically routes the token back toward $1.90 support, and a decisive break below that floor has been tied to a steeper decline toward $1.50, the lower boundary of a descending channel. Analyst Ali Martinez previously noted a TD Sequential buy signal that pointed toward $2.50, but explicitly conditioned that bullish path on XRP holding above the $1.90 threshold. [Yellow, Mar 04]

Spot ETF flows remain a central variable. Steady buying held a floor under XRP through the year's decline, but cumulative inflows of roughly $1.49 billion were characterized as too small to force a breakout above $2.00 on their own. Models suggested that a weekly close above $1.90 paired with accelerating ETF inflows would be needed to reopen a path toward $2.00 and above. With the token consolidating below resistance and no fresh catalyst, the question of whether the price of XRP will be above $1.90 on August 28 hinges on a short-window reclaim of a level it has struggled to defend. [24/7 Wall St., Jul 05]

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($52K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.