Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES). Live updates: Tornado watch for St.
Down from 28% to 18% since 2026-04-14 (-10pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $71K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($71K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 18c YES.