Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 39% YES on Polymarket with $66K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

61c

YES

39c

Prediction markets give a 39% probability to: iran closes its airspace by may 31?.

Currently at 39%

Traded on Polymarket — $66K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($66K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 39c YES.

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Last updated: May 03, 2026, 10:09 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 61c

Smart money positioned NO.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xbacd..35	MM	YES	$1.1K	+5%
This Market Entered at 37c → now 39c (+5%), $1.1K on YES Activity · 1 event · May 02 DatePositionAmountTotal May 02BUYYES37+$1,003$1,003 Realized— Unrealized+$54 Total Profit+$54 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1902) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 37c. At current price 39c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 39c YES — $66K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 39c with $66K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 39c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	39c	$66K
Our Model	39c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 39% YES with $66K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.