Geopolitics
Resolves: May 2026 27 days left Volume: $126K

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

NO
88c
YES
12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Iran closes its airspace by May 8. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES). Mitigating Cyber Threats on Business Jets.

Currently at 12%

Traded on Polymarket — $126K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $126K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: May 02, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $126K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.