Geopolitics
Resolves: Dec 2026
6 months left
Volume: $51K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Prediction markets put the probability at 23%: Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (23% YES).
Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($51K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 23c YES.
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.
Unlock PRO — $29/mo
Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets.
Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.
Explore Market Radar →
Deep Analysis — Geopolitics Markets
These Geopolitics markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 23% YES with $51K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.