Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 22% YES on Polymarket with $92K in total trading volume.

78c

YES

22c

Prediction markets put the probability at 22%: Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (22% YES). “Remember the Hezbollah tent on Mount Dov before the terrible disaster of Oct.

Down from 28% to 22% since 2026-04-14 (-6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $92K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($92K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 22c YES.

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Last updated: April 27, 2026, 22:06 UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 22% YES with $92K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.