Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 26% YES on Polymarket with $224K in total trading volume.

74c

YES

26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES). Iran's Baghaei confirms mediators continue push for peace, says US had 'no excuse' to violate MoU.

Currently at 26%

Traded on Polymarket — $224K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $224K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $224K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.