Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 18% YES on Polymarket with $1.0M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

82c

YES

18c

Prediction markets give a 18% probability to: will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31?.

Currently at 18%

Traded on Polymarket — $1.0M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.0M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 18c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

$1.0M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 1 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.

STRONG OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 82c

Smart money entered NO at 90c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 90c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5cd5..33 ★	Retail	NO	$7.3K	-9%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 90c → now 82c (-9%), $7.3K on NO Activity · 3 events · Jul 02 → Jul 07 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 02BUYNO90+$5,947$5,947 Jul 03BUYNO92+$1,543$7,603 Jul 07BUYNO79+$439$6,987 Realized— Unrealized−$654 Total Profit−$654 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1788 trades).

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 90c. At current price 18c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 18c YES — $1.0M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 18c with $1.0M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 18c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	18c	$1.0M
Our Model	18c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 18% YES with $1.0M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.