Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: NATO dissolves before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). Ritchie Torres, a Democrat, represents New York's 15th Congressional District in the House of Representatives.
Price has been stable at 6% since 2026-04-14
Traded on Polymarket — $123K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $123K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.