Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 78% YES on Polymarket with $1.9M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?'?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

78c

22c

Prediction markets give a 78% probability to: trump announces end of military operations against iran by june 30th?.

Currently at 78%

Traded on Polymarket — $1.9M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.9M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 78c YES.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

$1.9M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 2 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 22c

Smart money entered NO at 23c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

2 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 23c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xbacd..35	MM	NO	$17.3K	0%
This Market Entered at 23c → now 22c (0%), $17.3K on NO Track Record 13d on platform · 1954 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1954) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xfcf2..69	Retail	NO	$5.0K	-2%
This Market Entered at 23c → now 22c (-2%), $5.0K on NO Track Record 21d on platform · 1974 trades · 100% win rate · politics specialist AI Insight Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1974 trades).

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 23c. At current price 78c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 78c YES — $1.9M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 78c with $1.9M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 78c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	78c	$1.9M
Our Model	78c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 78% YES with $1.9M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th??

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.