Geopolitics
Resolves: Aug 2026 2 months left Volume: $58K

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

NO
88c
YES
12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES).

Currently at 12%

Traded on Polymarket — $58K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($58K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 12c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $58K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.