Geopolitics
Resolves: Jan 2027 3 months left Volume: $186K

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

NO
93c
YES
7c

As of September 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?” at 7% YES with $186K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES).

Down from 14% to 7% since 2026-06-16 (-7pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $186K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $186K in total volume.

Where can I bet on U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.